The Flyby of Asteroid 2011 CP4 on 2012/02/23

by J.L. Galache

Another close flyby will be taking place on the night of February 23rd. I know it’s more than a week away, but I thought I’d get a head start on the doom-sayers. This time we’re being visited by a rock about the size of 1.5 to 3.5 football fields (160 – 350 m), which would survive its passage through the atmosphere and reach the ground as a fair sized meteorite. Lucky for us, it will pass some 3.5 million km (2.18 million miles) from Earth, which sounds very far away, but in astronomical distances is quite close as it’s only a little bit more than 9 times the distance from Earth to the Moon.

2011 CP4 flyby on 2012/02/23

Diagram showing the orbit of asteroid 2011 CP4 in blue. Light blue is the part of the orbit that's above the plane of Earth's orbit while is dark blue is the part that's below. Note that the orbit of 2011 CP4 never crosses the Earth's orbit. The asteroid is shown at the point of its orbit when it's closest to Earth on February 23rd, 2012.

I’m providing a diagram of 2011 CP4′s orbit here (produced with JPL’s Small-Body Database Browser) so you can sleep at night without worry. Notice how the orbit of 2011 CP4 never crosses that of the Earth, which means it will never hit us. Unless it gets knocked off its path, but that’s unlikely! Again, sleep tight, the night won’t bite.

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2 Comments to “The Flyby of Asteroid 2011 CP4 on 2012/02/23”

  1. Well I must say noe one knows what impact this asteroid will have. On feb 6, 2012, I had a vision of a dark space rock hurdling towards me., it was morning and I was barely asleep. Then I had a word of knowledge that in 17 days an asteroid would hit earth. I checked the days and it came out to be 2.23.2012. So today I finally googled it and I came upon this website. Very interesting!

    • Well I must say noe one knows what impact this asteroid will have.

      It will have ZERO impact, Margaret; I cannot stress this enough. This asteroid will not even come close to hitting the Earth or Moon, and there are no other asteroids coming this close to us either in the weeks before or after. Like I said in my article, you can sleep tight at night because there is no danger.

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